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Russia's "soft power" in 2000-2025: strategies, tools, and results

Efimenko Anastasiya Mikhailovna

ORCID: 0009-0003-8513-1703

Assistant; Department of Public Administration; Lugansk State University named after V. Dahl
Postgraduate student; Department of Public Administration; Lugansk State University named after V. Dahl

20A Molodezhny Square, Lugansk People's Republic, 291034, Russia

efimenko.anastasiya.m@mail.ru

DOI:

10.25136/2409-8671.2026.2.79458

EDN:

ZVMDIQ

Received:

04/18/2026

First review received:

04/20/2026 13:38 — manuscript returned for revision

Revised manuscript submitted:

04/26/2026 13:05

Second review received:

04/28/2026 09:12 — manuscript returned for revision

Revised manuscript submitted:

05/10/2026 12:46

Final review received:

05/13/2026 15:02 — recommendation for publication.

The article is published in its final version as approved following the last positive peer review recommending acceptance for publication. It incorporates revisions made by the author in response to prior negative peer review reports that did not recommend publication. All peer review reports, including initial negative reviews, are published in open access alongside the article. All versions of the author’s revisions are archived in the publisher’s repository and may be made available upon reasonable request in accordance with Elsevier’s editorial policies and applicable data availability requirements.
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Published:

07/01/2026

Abstract: The subject of the research is the evolution of Russian "soft power" from 2000 to 2025 in connection with the change in the country's foreign policy positioning, the institutional architecture of humanitarian influence, and the geography of external communications. The author examines the strategies, tools, and outcomes of cultural diplomacy, educational policy, international media presence, religious-civilizational practices, and work with compatriots abroad. Special attention is paid to the relationship between universalist and sovereign-identity components of Russian humanitarian policy after 2014, as well as the differences between the Russian, American, and Chinese models of "soft power." The aim of the study is to identify the stages of the evolution of Russian humanitarian strategy, determine the mechanisms of its implementation, and assess its effectiveness under conditions of sanctions pressure, digital restrictions, and a shift in foreign policy focus towards non-Western regions. The research is based on comparative-political analysis, discursive reconstruction, institutional mapping, and content analysis of official documents, program materials, and comparable analytical data. The main conclusion of the study is the presence of three phases in the development of Russian "soft power": proto-institutional, institutional-constructivist, and conflict-identification. The novelty of the research lies in the fact that Russian humanitarian policy is interpreted not as a collection of disparate projects, but as an adaptive system that changes under the influence of sanctions, information warfare, and the narrowing of Western channels of influence. It has been established that after 2014, Russia lost part of its universalist potential, but retained niche effectiveness in the post-Soviet and non-Western spaces, primarily through education, media platforms, cultural centers, and work with the historical-value agenda. The results can be used in the development of cultural diplomacy programs, educational exports, international communications, and regionally differentiated humanitarian strategies, as well as in expert and managerial practice.


Keywords:

soft power, foreign policy, humanitarian diplomacy, information influence, strategic communication, civilizational identity, international relations, civilizational diplomacy, cultural sovereignty, Global South


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Introduction

In the first quarter of the 21st century, "soft power" finally turned into one of the central tools of foreign policy competition. Along with economic and military means of influence, States are increasingly resorting to the resources of culture, information, ideology, and education to advance their own interests in the face of increasing geopolitical turbulence. For Russia, which is facing large-scale foreign policy pressure, attempts at cultural and normative isolation, and the loss of significant positions in Western institutions of influence, the problem of developing an effective soft power strategy has become particularly important. The erosion of the former world order based on the global liberal consensus has exacerbated the need to form alternative models of international subjectivity, in which "soft power" becomes not only a resource of attraction, but also a means of adapting to the new foreign policy environment.

Interest in the phenomenon of "soft power" in Russian and foreign political science has increased significantly since the conceptualization of this term by Joseph Nye in the 1990s. Among the authoritative studies that have received wide recognition, the work of J. NYE, C. Hayden, J. Melissen, A. Watanabe, as well as Russian scientists specializing in this issue: M.M. Lebedeva, O.G. Leonova, O.A. Naumova, E.G. Ponomareva, D.B. Kazarinova [1-9]. The Russian academic tradition has developed various approaches to understanding the essence and limitations of "soft power." If M.M. Lebedeva focuses on institutional mechanisms and multi-vector nature, O.G. Leonova and O.A. Naumov emphasize the value-civilizational component and its transformation in the context of new geopolitical realities.Attention to this topic became especially intense after 2014, when the West imposed sanctions, sharply narrowing the possibilities of a "hard" projection of Russia's interests and thereby intensifying its interest in intangible channels of presence in the international arena. In this study, "soft power" refers to the ability of the state to shape the preferences of other actors through the attractiveness of culture, values, and politics. Humanitarian policy is seen as a broader framework for the implementation of "soft power," while cultural diplomacy is one of its tools, including educational, cultural, and religious initiatives.

Despite the accumulated base of empirical and conceptual research, modern Russian "soft power" is still the subject of scientific discussions. In particular, there are contradictions in the academic field regarding the criteria of its effectiveness, the mechanism of perception outside of Russia, as well as the relationship between state and non-state actors involved in humanitarian promotion. Comparative studies are of particular interest, in which the Russian model is contrasted with the approaches of the United States and China. American "soft power" is traditionally associated with universalism and liberal normativity, while the Chinese strategy emphasizes civilizational and economic mutual benefit and political neutrality [1, 13, 24]. In the Russian context, there is a gradual shift from a more universalistic and dialogical model to a more sovereignly oriented humanitarian policy, in which value components are strengthened.

Against this background, the research gaps become obvious. First, there is a lack of a holistic view of the stages of the evolution of Russian "soft power" over the past 25 years, which makes it possible to link political transformations within the country with changes in foreign policy positioning. Secondly, the tools for assessing the effectiveness of Russia's humanitarian diplomacy in the face of sanctions isolation and information pressure have not been sufficiently developed. Thirdly, the problems of the civilizational justification of the Russian "soft power" and its potential competitiveness as an alternative international project are poorly represented in the academic literature. In addition, the issues of adapting soft power strategies to new digital environments and political realities remain unresolved, in which traditional channels of influence are losing their stability.

The purpose of this article is a comprehensive analysis of the strategy, tools and results of the use of Russian "soft power" in the period from 2000 to the present, as well as to identify the main changes in its foreign policy positioning in the context of increased international competition. Existing research on Russian "soft power" focuses primarily either on a conceptual understanding of the concept itself, or on an analysis of individual instruments of humanitarian influence. To a lesser extent, the issue of the phase evolution of the Russian model in 2000-2025 and the relationship of institutional changes with changes in the foreign policy environment has been developed. This article is aimed at filling this gap. Within the framework of this goal, the following tasks are set: to identify the key stages of the evolution of Russian "soft power"; to systematize its institutional and substantive components; to conduct a comparative analysis with the humanitarian strategies of the United States and China; to assess the real and potential effects of Russia's "soft power" in countries near and far abroad; to identify the limitations and contradictions constraining its development.

The conducted research has both theoretical and applied significance. Theoretically, it helps to clarify the conceptual framework and models for analyzing foreign policy influence of an intangible nature. In practice, the results can be used to develop recommendations for foreign policy agencies, cultural diplomacy institutions, media structures, and academic institutions involved in strategic forecasting. The article is aimed at a systematic rethinking of the role of a humanitarian resource in ensuring Russia's international subjectivity, taking into account the conditions of the post-liberal world order and the growing intercivilizational competition.

Methods and Materials

The study is based on a comprehensive qualitative and quantitative analysis of the evolution of Russian "soft power" in 2000-2025. Its empirical part is based not only on theoretical literature, but also on a body of open documents, statistical materials and institutional reports that make it possible to compare the stated foreign policy guidelines with the practice of humanitarian policy. The methodological framework includes content analysis, discourse analysis, comparative political science, institutional and historical-political methods.

The empirical sample was formed according to the principle of targeted selection. It includes 62 pieces of materials for 2000-2025: strategic and regulatory documents of the Russian Federation; program materials of Rossotrudnichestvo, the Russkiy Mir Foundation, the Gorchakov Foundation and specialized educational institutions; public speeches and interviews of representatives of foreign policy and humanitarian institutions; statistical data on foreign students, quotas, language programs, foreign missions and regional distribution humanitarian initiatives; as well as analytical reviews and international ratings used in the article as an auxiliary comparative material. [10, 11, 15, 18, 19].

The criteria for including materials in the sample were: 1) direct connection with the instruments of Russian "soft power"; 2) public verifiability of the source; 3) representativeness for one of the three identified stages; 4) the presence of meaningful indicators of humanitarian policy – education, Russian language, culture, historical memory, support for compatriots, media presence or value-civilizational rhetoric. Duplicate messages, news texts without analytical or statistical load, as well as materials that do not allow establishing a link between the declared initiative and Russia's foreign policy positioning were excluded from the sample.

Content analysis was used to identify the thematic structure of Russian humanitarian policy. The units of analysis were the document as a whole, the semantic fragment and the thematic code. Coding was conducted in nine categories: "education and academic mobility", "Russian language and cultural heritage", "compatriots", "historical memory", "traditional values", "multipolarity", "media presence and information counteraction", "Global South", "digital and network formats". The unit of account was not the number of word uses, but the presence of a stable semantic block in the document; therefore, one material could be assigned to several categories simultaneously.

The discourse analysis was aimed at identifying how the semantic framework of Russian "soft power" is constructed in official documents, institutional reports and public speeches. The article analyzed ways to legitimize humanitarian policy, contrast the Russian model with Western universalism, represent Russia as an independent center of civilization, as well as changes in rhetoric from dialogue-integration to sovereign identification after 2014 and especially after 2022.

Statistical data were used in a descriptive mode and served for empirical verification of qualitative conclusions. Russian Russian Houses and Rossotrudnichestvo network indicators were included in the analysis, as well as information on the quotas of the Russian Government for foreign citizens, the number of foreign students in Russian universities, Russian language education abroad, the regional distribution of humanitarian initiatives and the dynamics of Russia's institutional presence in individual macro-regions. This approach made it possible to avoid reducing the article to a purely conceptual reasoning and to show which instruments have a measurable institutional expression.

The comparative political science method was used to compare the Russian model of "soft power" with the American and Chinese models [1, 13, 24]. The comparison was conducted not in the form of a general description, but according to an analytical matrix: institutional architecture, key channels of influence, value base, geographical priorities, type of target audience, digital infrastructure and performance constraints. The methodological triangulation of content analysis, discourse analysis, and descriptive statistics allows us to consider Russian "soft power" simultaneously as a set of institutions, a system of narratives, and a set of measurable practices.

The chronological framework of 2000-2025 is set based on the changing institutional and foreign policy conditions of the functioning of Russian humanitarian policy. The lower boundary is associated with the beginning of the restoration of Russia's foreign policy subjectivity in the 2000s; the boundary of 2007-2008 reflects the emergence of specialized institutions of public and cultural diplomacy; 2014 records the transition to a conflict-identification model under sanctions pressure; 2022-2025 is considered as a subtype of the same phase, when Western restrictions, digital barriers and reorientation increased to the countries of the Global South. This periodization makes it possible to link empirical indicators, content analysis results, and discursive shifts into a single research logic.

Table 1. Composition of the empirical study sample

Group of materials

Number of units

Function in the study

Strategic and regulatory documents of the Russian Federation

14

Fixing official goals, value bases and stages of institutionalization of humanitarian policy

Materials from Rossotrudnichestvo, the Russian World Foundation, the Gorchakov Foundation and relevant structures

18

Identification of practical tools: Russian houses, language programs, educational quotas, cultural projects

Public appearances, interviews, and policy statements

12

Analysis of discursive frameworks: multipolarity, traditional values, civilizational sovereignty

Statistical and analytical data

10

Verification of quantitative indicators: international students, quotas, language training, regional presence

Materials about cultural, media, and educational projects

8

Clarifying the practices of implementing "soft power" at the regional and project levels

Total

62

The corpus is used for content analysis, discourse analysis, and comparative interpretation.

Results

The analysis of empirical and theoretical data obtained in the course of the study made it possible to fix the presence of a stable phase structure in the development of Russian "soft power" in the period from 2000 to the present. Based on the dynamics of foreign policy conditions, the institutional framework, and the transformation of ideological content, three stages were identified: proto-institutional, institutional-constructivist, and conflict-identification. At the first stage, covering the first seven years of the 21st century, Russian foreign policy demonstrated an interest in intangible forms of influence, but lacked a comprehensive system of institutions. The main efforts were focused on restoring humanitarian ties in the post-Soviet space, supporting Russian-speaking diasporas, developing bilateral cultural programs and educational cooperation with traditionally friendly countries [10, 11].

In the second phase, from 2008 to 2013, an organized soft power infrastructure was formed. Specialized structures appeared to coordinate international humanitarian activities: Rossotrudnichestvo in 2008, the Russian World Foundation in 2007, and the Gorchakov Foundation for Public Diplomacy in 2010. Russia's media presence abroad has significantly expanded, including through multilingual broadcasting in foreign markets. During the same period, an impetus was given to the export of humanitarian, cultural, religious and educational services to new regional areas, including Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia: science and culture centers were opened, quota programs for students from Africa and Asia were developed, and support for compatriots living abroad was expanded [10, 11].

The third phase, which began in 2014, was marked by the institutionalization of the value-identification framework of the Russian "soft power". The foreign policy course of the Russian Federation has been reoriented towards a more sovereignly oriented humanitarian policy based on the rejection of universalist rhetoric and appeals to its own civilizational foundations. The discourse of cultural autonomy, Orthodox and traditional values, historical memory, and a multipolar world has become an important component of foreign policy positioning. During this period, there was a reduction in Russia's presence in Western countries and a simultaneous increase in activity in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East; therefore, the geographical structure of the use of "soft power" acquired a distinctly non-Western character [6, 7].

In the context of deteriorating relations with the West and the introduction of large-scale sanctions regimes, Russia was forced to adapt its strategy of humanitarian influence to the new international environment. This has led to a rethinking of priorities, accents, and forms of communication. The decrease in the availability of Western academic, cultural and media platforms was accompanied by a reorientation of resources to strengthen its presence in the countries of the Global South, where Russian cultural and educational diplomacy gained relative freedom of action. The role of regional cooperation formats such as the Eurasian Economic Union, SCO, BRICS, as well as bilateral humanitarian agreements with Latin American, African, and Asian states has increased [15, 18, 19].

To empirically verify the selected periodization, a content analysis of 62 materials was carried out. His results show that Russian "soft power" is most consistently described through educational, linguistic, cultural and diasporic tools, whereas after 2014, the proportion of materials in which humanitarian policy is associated with historical memory, traditional values and multipolarity has increased markedly. After 2022, the codes of media engagement, digital adaptation and reorientation to the countries of the Global South will be further strengthened in the building.

Table 2. The results of the empirical corpus content analysis

Theme code

Materials where the code is fixed

Percentage of the case

Analytical interpretation

Education and academic mobility

38 out of 62

61,3%

The most stable channel of long-term influence; associated with quotas, training of foreign personnel and a network of graduates

Russian language and cultural heritage

35 of 62

56,5%

A basic symbolic resource, especially significant for the CIS, Central Asia and diasporic audiences

Compatriots abroad

28 of 62

45,2%

Confirms the preservation of the post-Soviet and diasporic core of Russian humanitarian policy

Historical memory

27 of 62

43,5%

After 2014, it becomes a tool for identification consolidation and countering the revision of history.

Traditional values and civilizational identity

24 of 62

38,7%

It forms the normative difference between the Russian model and the liberal-universalist approaches

Multipolarity and criticism of universalism

23 of 62

37,1%

Connects humanitarian policy with the broader foreign policy doctrine of the sovereign world order

Media presence and information counteraction

20 of 62

32,3%

It shows the transition from cultural representation to narrative competition and work with alternative audiences.

The Global South

17 of 62

27,4%

It reflects the reorientation of humanitarian initiatives to Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America.

Digital and network formats

14 of 62

22,6%

The least institutionalized, but growing component related to platform communication and youth audiences

The quantitative results of the content analysis confirm that Russia's "soft power" is not limited to a media or propaganda dimension. Its practical core is formed by education, language, cultural heritage and work with compatriots; at the same time, the discursive core after 2014 is increasingly structured around historical memory, traditional values and multipolarity. This configuration explains the contradiction identified in the article: institutionally, Russia retains strong humanitarian channels, but their perception abroad increasingly depends on the political loyalty of the host environment and the willingness of the audience to accept value-sovereign rhetoric.

One of the stable empirical results of the analysis was the identification of the institutional concentration of the Russian humanitarian resource. This is most clearly evident in the Rossotrudnichestvo infrastructure.: By the mid-2020s, the agency relied on 87 foreign representative offices in 71 countries operating under the Russian House brand; cultural events, language courses, educational counseling, competitive selection of foreign applicants and work with compatriots are implemented through this network. An additional indicator of institutional expansion was the conclusion in 2024 of 17 agreements on the establishment of partner Russian houses in Africa, the Middle East, Latin America and Asia. Thus, empirical data show not only the preservation of the centralized model, but also its gradual addition to network partner formats [10, 11].

On the issue of media presence, it should be noted that after 2014, Russia's foreign information policy entered a phase of expansive development. Leading media platforms broadcasting abroad in foreign languages began to perform the function of not only transmitting information, but also formulating alternative worldview narratives. Their activities were aimed at an audience susceptible to criticism of the Western information agenda, especially in countries with high levels of anti-Americanism or skepticism towards Western international institutions. At the same time, there was a narrowing of the audience in North America and the EU, associated with administrative pressure, blockages, and changes in content distribution algorithms in the digital environment [16, 21].

An analysis of the educational track of the Russian "soft power" has shown that the most stable and quantifiable channel of influence remains the training of foreign students. In the 2023/24 academic year, 355,765 foreign students studied at Russian universities, and 29,728 foreign applicants were sent within the quota of the Government of the Russian Federation, with a quota of 30,000 places. In 2024, according to the relevant department, the number of foreign students at Russian universities reached about 378 thousand people, that is, it increased by 20 thousand compared to the previous year. An additional infrastructural indicator is the presence of 73 intergovernmental agreements and international conventions on the recognition of education, which reduces barriers to educational mobility. Russian Russian was taught to about 14 thousand people in 2024 by Rossotrudnichestvo in the foreign representative offices of the Russian House, which allows us to consider language programs as an entrance contour of educational diplomacy [10, 11].

The religious and civilizational component of Russia's "soft power" occupies a special place in the system of empirically identified trends. Since the mid-2010s, Russian humanitarian initiatives have increasingly appealed to the idea of a unique civilizational path that emphasizes the synthesis of Orthodox spirituality, historical memory, and sovereign state identity. Elements of this paradigm are actively being broadcast in countries where Orthodox communities are present, as well as in states that perceive Russia as a counterweight to the liberal-secular hegemony of the West. These mechanisms are most actively manifested in the countries of the Balkans, parts of the Middle East, as well as in some areas of cultural instability, where the religious component of politics is gaining decisive importance [6, 7].

At the regional level, the largest presence of Russian "soft power" was recorded in the post-Soviet countries, in particular in Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. In these countries, there is an institutionalized interaction in the field of education, culture, youth policy, as well as Russia's systematic participation in regional humanitarian forums and initiatives. There is also targeted support for Russian-speaking educational institutions, participation in the training of teaching staff and provision of methodological materials. In Eastern European countries, despite the decline in political loyalty to Russia, certain elements of humanitarian cooperation remained in place until 2022, including academic exchange programs, cultural centers, and participation in independent media projects. After 2022, there has been a sharp reduction in these formats, their administrative blocking, as well as the curtailment of a number of previously active cooperation platforms. However, there are efforts to maintain a point presence in countries with a more balanced foreign policy, such as Hungary and Serbia [15, 17].

African and Latin American areas have been showing increased engagement since 2018, especially after the Russia–Africa summits and increased cooperation in educational and cultural diplomacy. In these regions, Russia is increasingly positioned as an independent and supranational partner, unencumbered by its colonial legacy and ideological conditions. The main focus is on supporting local educational systems, working with youth, developing Russian-speaking and bilingual programs, as well as holding cultural events with the participation of Russian creative teams [18, 19].

In Asia, the main focus is on multilevel cooperation in the humanitarian field with Vietnam, Mongolia, Indonesia and the countries of Central Asia. These countries have established stable bilateral formats that support the synergy between educational exports, cultural policy and projects in the field of mass communication. There is considerable interest in joint historical and cultural research, participation in programs for the protection of intangible heritage, and strengthening ties at the level of student and youth initiatives [12, 16].

One of the most important empirical results of the study was the establishment of the dependence of the effectiveness of "soft power" on the political and cultural context of the host countries. In countries focused on a balanced foreign policy, as well as in countries where there is a demand for cultural pluralism and multipolarity, the opportunities for the implementation of Russian humanitarian and cultural initiatives are noticeably higher. There is a great openness to exchange programs, festivals, and participation in joint media and educational projects. In the same countries where the pro-Western regulatory framework and political orientation towards the EU or the USA are dominant, the use of "soft power" tools encounters institutional barriers, censorship restrictions and resistance from the media and expert environment [17, 24].

The results of the analysis also demonstrate that, against the background of geopolitical crises, since 2014, the vector of Russian "soft power" has increasingly acquired the features of a defensive strategy. This is reflected in the desire to retain and reproduce existing areas of humanitarian influence, strengthen ties with compatriots abroad, counter destructive information campaigns and enhance the role of domestic cultural symbols as a means of resisting global standardization. This is confirmed by the increased attention to the issues of national historical memory, the sacralization of the cultural code and the development of language programs as an instrument of identification influence [7, 14].

There is a steady trend towards the formation of "information enclaves" – segments of the international information space in which Russian narratives have a high degree of resonance and are perceived as reliable and alternative to Western ones. These enclaves are most often found in countries with a pronounced demand for multipolarity and dissatisfaction with externally imposed models of social development. In them, Russian media resources, educational proposals and cultural initiatives are perceived not as a tool of state propaganda, but as a source of additional choice and confirmation of the alternative global worldview [16, 21].

Comparing data across different regions allows you to capture the coverage asymmetry in a more structured way. In the sample materials, the post–Soviet space and Central Asia were mentioned as a priority area in 33 of the 62 housing units; Asia in a broad sense in 22 materials; Africa in 17; Latin America in 12; Western Europe and North America - in 11, and mainly in the context of restrictions, blockages, sanctions and reduction of institutional presence. Consequently, the most complete soft power infrastructure remains in the CIS and Central Asian countries, a medium–intensive presence is recorded in Asia and the Middle East, and targeted but growing activity is in Africa and Latin America, while the western direction after 2022 acquires a predominantly residual and defensive character.

The analysis of the perception of Russian "soft power" abroad deserves special attention. Empirical data obtained as a result of the analysis of international indices, public opinion polls and expert assessments allow us to conclude that there is a paradoxical duality in relation to the humanitarian projection of Russia. On the one hand, in a number of countries it continues to be associated with a high level of scientific and cultural capital, with classical Russian literature, schools of music, theater and ballet, as well as with achievements in space, engineering and mathematics. On the other hand, the modern political connotation of the "soft power" of the Russian Federation in the international press and analytics is often viewed through the prism of suspicions of politically motivated information influence, which indicates a growing gap between the potential cultural appeal and the political image of the country [1, 20].

An additional empirical result was the identification of an imbalance between the institutional saturation of the soft power infrastructure and the limited channels of its perception. Despite the availability of a wide range of tools from cultural centers to transnational media platforms, from educational programs to religious initiatives, it is not always possible to ensure the organic integration of these mechanisms into the cultural fabric of the host countries. This is especially true for States with a high sensitivity to issues of cultural autonomy and a historically conditioned distrust of external forms of influence. In such conditions, the effectiveness of "soft power" is determined not only by the scale and regularity of initiatives, but also by the degree of trust in the source, contextual relevance, and the ability to propose a positive, integrative agenda [1, 24].

The totality of the data obtained allows us to conclude that modern Russian "soft power" operates in a deeply fragmented international environment, where there is no universal format for its perception. This determines the need for constant adaptation of tools, consideration of local socio-cultural specifics and diversification of strategies depending on the political, cultural and informational context.

Discussion

The results obtained make it possible to transfer practical recommendations from the level of general wishes to the level of scientifically based conclusions directly following from the empirical corpus. Unlike descriptive approaches, where digitalization, personnel renewal, or the transition to a network model are formulated as self-evident modernization directions, in this study they are derived from three groups of data: the structure of an empirical sample, the results of content analysis, and a comparative matrix of "soft power" models [5-7].

The first result is related to the refinement of the chronological logic of the study. The period 2000-2007 is characterized as proto-institutional, since humanitarian initiatives existed mainly in the form of disparate foreign policy and cultural practices. The period 2008-2013 is defined as an institutional constructivist period: it was then that Rossotrudnichestvo, the Russian World Foundation, and the Gorchakov Foundation were formed and the infrastructure of public diplomacy expanded. The period 2014-2025 has a conflict-identification character, as humanitarian policy is increasingly associated with historical memory, traditional values, criticism of Western universalism and a reorientation towards non-Western audiences [7, 20].

The period 2022-2025 should be considered not as an independent phase, but as a subtype of the radicalization of the already established conflict identification model. After 2022, sanctions and platform restrictions intensified, Western channels of cultural communication decreased, and the codes "Global South", "media presence and information counteraction", "digital and network formats" became more pronounced in the corpus of materials. Therefore, periodization is based not on a mechanical calendar division, but on a change in institutional regimes, foreign policy constraints, and discursive dominants.

The second result concerns the comparative measurement. A comparison of Russia, the United States, and China shows that the differences between the models of "soft power" are not only in terms of the set of institutions, but also in the type of regulatory proposal, the mechanism of attractiveness formation, and the nature of the target audience. For a more visual presentation of the results of the comparative analysis, they are summarized in an analytical matrix.

Table 3. Comparative analytical matrix of the "soft power" models of Russia, the USA and China

Criteria

Russia

USA

China

Regulatory framework

Cultural sovereignty, historical memory, traditional values, multipolarity

Liberal democracy, human rights, individual freedom, market openness

Harmonious development, non-interference, civilizational continuity, economic mutual benefit

Institutional architecture

Russian Russian Society is dominated by state and state-affiliated structures: Rossotrudnichestvo, Russian Houses, the Russkiy Mir Foundation, educational quotas, and state media.

Mixed model: government public diplomacy, universities, NGOs, Hollywood, private platforms and foundations

State-corporate model: institutes of Chinese language and culture, international media, infrastructure and educational programs

Key channels of influence

Russian language, education, culture, historical memory, work with compatriots, alternative media

Mass culture, universities, technology platforms, expert networks, exchange programs

Economic projects, educational grants, language, infrastructure, digital platforms, cultural centers

Geographical focus

CIS, Central Asia, the Balkans, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America; after 2022 — strengthening of the non-Western direction

Global reach, especially Europe, allied democracies, English-speaking environment and youth audiences

Asia, Africa, Latin America, Belt and Road Initiative countries, emerging markets

Type of attractiveness

Identification and anti-hegemonic; it is most effective where there is a demand for cultural pluralism and alternative to the West.

Universalist and consumer-cultural; based on the image of opportunity, mobility and personal success

Pragmatic and infrastructural; attractiveness is linked to development, investment and laissez-faire

Main limitations

Politicization of perception, sanctions, media blocking, lack of a positive image of the future, weakness of digital platforms

Crisis of confidence in liberal universalism, accusations of double standards, fatigue from regulatory pressure

Fears of addiction, language barrier, suspicions of economic asymmetry and political control

The matrix shows that the Russian model occupies an intermediate position between the American universalist and Chinese pragmatic and infrastructural logic. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to appeal to cultural pluralism, anti-hegemonism, and historical memory, but the limitation is that a positive agenda for the future often gives way to defensive and reactive argumentation. Consequently, the recommendation to develop a positive humanitarian proposal directly follows from the comparative analysis, rather than being added to it externally [1, 13, 24].

The third result follows from the content analysis. The most represented codes were "education and academic mobility" (38 out of 62 materials; 61.3%), "Russian language and cultural heritage" (35 out of 62; 56.5%) and "compatriots abroad" (28 out of 62; 45.2%). The code "digital and network formats" is much less pronounced (14 out of 62; 22.6%). This means that the Russian "soft power" retains a strong offline contour, but does not sufficiently transform it into stable digital and horizontal forms of interaction [21-23].

Table 4. Relationship of empirical results and practical conclusions

Empirical result

Scientific interpretation

Practical conclusion

Education and academic mobility are recorded in 38 out of 62 materials

The educational track is the most stable channel of long-term humanitarian influence.

To develop not only the recruitment of international students, but also graduate networks, career support and professional contact clubs

Russian language and cultural heritage are recorded in 35 of 62 materials

The linguistic and cultural resource remains basic, but requires local adaptation.

Link language courses with regional cultural projects, local authors, universities and youth venues

Digital and network formats are represented in only 14 of the 62 materials.

The digital contour is a weak link in Russian humanitarian policy

Create online support for Russian homes: courses, media platforms, digital archives, alumni communities, and interactive educational products

The Global South is recorded in 17 of 62 materials; Africa and Latin America are mentioned as growing destinations

Non-Western audiences are becoming a key field of competition for cultural credibility

Switch from universal campaigns to regional programs, taking into account local history, language environment, and educational needs

Rossotrudnichestvo has 87 representative offices in 71 countries, and in 2024 a network of partner Russian houses was developing.

The centralized infrastructure retains the coverage resource, but needs horizontal nodes.

Use Russian Houses as platforms for coordinating universities, alumni, expert groups, cultural initiatives, and local partners

Table 4 shows that the practical recommendations are not an abstract list of measures. Digitalization is necessary because the digital code has turned out to be the least represented in the corpus; personnel renewal is necessary because efficiency depends on regional adaptation; a network model is necessary because a centralized infrastructure by itself does not provide depth of perception; a positive agenda is necessary because the discourse of historical memory and value identity enhances the identification effect, but not always creates an attractive image of the future.

This leads to a more accurate understanding of digitalization. Russian Russian language courses at Russian Homes, digital alumni clubs, regional media projects with local authors, platforms for joint cultural archives and educational tracks should not be a formal expansion of the presence on social networks, but rather the creation of a digital contour to support existing offline tools. This model responds to the identified shortage of digital codes and at the same time uses the most powerful components of Russian "soft power" - education, language and cultural heritage [21-23].

Personnel updates should also be derived from the results of the analysis. If the effectiveness of Russian humanitarian policy depends on the regional context, a specialist in this field cannot only be an administrator of cultural events. He must have the skills of audience analysis, intercultural communication, digital promotion, graduate work, and feedback assessment. Otherwise, even an extensive network of representative offices will reproduce the events without turning them into a stable channel of trust.

The transition to a network model should be understood not as a rejection of state institutions, but as their functional expansion. Unlike the United States, where a significant part of the attractiveness is created by non-governmental cultural industries and universities, and unlike China, where humanitarian projects are integrated into the economic and infrastructural agenda, the Russian model is overly dependent on government channels. Therefore, its modernization should take place through the interface of the state, universities, public foundations, graduate communities, local cultural venues and digital mediators, especially in Asia, Africa and Latin America [18, 19, 24].

Finally, the recommendation for a positive agenda also has an empirical basis. Content analysis shows the importance of historical memory, traditional values and multipolarity, but the comparative matrix captures the weakness of the predictive image of the future. Therefore, Russian "soft power" needs not only to protect historical and cultural heritage, but also to offer a development project that is understandable to external audiences: educational, technological, cultural and humanitarian.

Conclusion

The conducted research made it possible to reveal the complex multi-layered structure of the Russian "soft power" in the context of the systemic transformation of the international order. Unlike the unified models focused on cultural universalization and liberal normativity, the Russian approach has evolved as a form of strategic self-affirmation aimed at protecting and projecting national and civilizational identity. This specificity cannot be reduced to a single political and propaganda dimension: the Russian humanitarian strategy is based on a stable institutional framework, rich cultural heritage and experience of international cooperation, covering both the post-Soviet space and the regions of the Global South.

A comparison with the expected results of the study confirms the working hypothesis that in the post-Crimean and especially post-Ukrainian period, Russian "soft power" lost some of its universalist potential, but at the same time strengthened the functions of normative resistance and symbolic mobilization. This shift from integration to opposition, from co-optation to selective interaction, reflects a deeper transformation of Russia's geocultural position in world politics. At the same time, empirical data have shown that even in conditions of isolation and sanctions pressure, stable pockets of positive humanitarian perception remain, especially in the countries of Asia, Africa and Latin America.

An important result of the study was the confirmation of the structural dependence of the effectiveness of Russian "soft power" on the political and cultural context of the recipient countries. In States with a high degree of sensitivity to the ideas of cultural pluralism, anti-hegemonism, and civilizational sovereignty, Russian humanitarian initiatives demonstrate relative resilience and potential for institutionalization. On the contrary, in countries where the Western regulatory framework dominates and access to alternative sources of information is limited, there is a sharp narrowing of channels of interaction, accompanied by a devaluation of Russia's positive image. This circumstance underlines the need for a geographically differentiated humanitarian strategy based on comprehensive regional diagnostics and cultural adaptability.

The novelty of the results obtained lies not only in the proposed three-phase periodization of the evolution of Russian "soft power", but also in the empirical justification of this periodization through content analysis, discourse analysis and comparison of statistical indicators. The presented approach allows us to consider Russia's humanitarian influence not as a sum of disparate actions, but as a strategic process subordinated to the logic of foreign policy adaptation, value articulation and cultural representation. In addition, key constraints hindering the development of this strategy have been identified: institutional fragmentation, a lack of a positive agenda, weak representation of digital and online formats, as well as distrust in a number of countries, formed at the level of political discourse.

The practical significance of the research lies in the fact that its results can be used in the formation of foreign policy, cultural and educational programs aimed at improving the effectiveness of Russia's humanitarian presence abroad. The conclusions about the need for regional differentiation of tools, digital support of Russian homes and educational programs, institutional development of graduate networks, as well as a transition from predominantly defensive rhetoric to a positive humanitarian proposal focused on the joint production of meanings and long-term trust have advisory value.

Among the limitations of the study, it should be noted the lack of open and comparable quantitative data on the activities of Russian humanitarian institutions in certain regions, especially after 2022, when access to international statistics and assessment platforms was significantly complicated. There is also a gap between the declarative level of foreign policy and humanitarian concepts and their implementation in practice: some strategic objectives remain difficult to assess due to institutional overload, insufficient coordination between structures and the lack of a unified performance measurement system. In addition, an objective assessment of the perception of Russian "soft power" is complicated by the high politicization of expert and sociological data in countries where Russia is the object of information counteraction.

Nevertheless, the revealed patterns open up opportunities for future research directions. A more in-depth analysis of the structure and mechanisms of the formation of humanitarian alliances between Russia and the countries of the Global South seems promising, especially within the framework of multilateral platforms such as BRICS, SCO and the Eurasian Economic Union. In the future, special attention should be paid to studying the processes of institutional consolidation of Russian "soft power" and its adaptation to new forms of international competition, primarily in the digital environment, in the education system and in the field of symbolic representation.

Another important task for subsequent research is to develop a model for evaluating the effectiveness of humanitarian diplomacy tools, taking into account regional specifics, sensitivity to cultural influences, political openness, and the level of trust in the source. This will not only strengthen the validity of project activities in the humanitarian field, but also increase the effectiveness of foreign policy planning in the context of ongoing global polarization. Given the instability and fragmentation of the modern world order, Russia's "soft power" needs a holistic, flexible and adaptive concept that can seamlessly fit into the multi-level structure of international cooperation.

Russia's humanitarian resource remains an important factor in its international positioning, but it requires modernizing the institutional framework, rethinking semantic accents, and strengthening coordination between government and public actors. Only with the formation of a systemic, sustainable and open humanitarian strategy will Russia be able not only to preserve, but also to expand its influence in a rapidly changing world where values, meanings and culture are becoming equal elements of global competition along with economics and military power.



The article is published in its final version as approved following the last positive peer review recommending acceptance for publication. It incorporates revisions made by the author in response to prior negative peer review reports that did not recommend publication. All peer review reports, including initial negative reviews, are published in open access alongside the article. All versions of the author’s revisions are archived in the publisher’s repository and may be made available upon reasonable request in accordance with Elsevier’s editorial policies and applicable data availability requirements.
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First Peer Review

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The subject of the study is the Russian "soft power" in 2000-2025. The methodological basis of the research is an interdisciplinary approach. The author justifiably applies the comparative political science method and the institutional approach. Along with this, empirical methods are correctly applied, namely, document analysis and secondary analysis of data from individual international ratings and analytical reviews. The relevance of the work, as the author rightly points out, lies in the fact that in the second quarter of the 21st century, "soft power" finally turned into one of the central tools of foreign policy competition. Along with economic and military means of influence, States are increasingly resorting to the resources of culture, information, ideology and education to advance their own interests in the face of increasing geopolitical turbulence. The scientific novelty of the study is to expand the understanding of the specifics of the use of Russian "soft power" in modern conditions. The text of the article has the following headings: "Introduction", "Material and research methods", "Results", "Discussion", "Conclusion", bibliography, which includes 24 sources in Russian and foreign languages. The content of the article as a whole reflects its structure. The article is written in a competent scientific language. In the introduction, the author substantiates the relevance of the research topic. The section "Research materials and methods" describes its theoretical and methodological foundations and empirical base in a meaningful way. In the main part of the work, the author correctly refers to theoretical sources and empirical data, appeals to opponents. The materials of this study are intended for a wide range of readership, they can be used by scientists for scientific purposes, teachers in the educational process. At the same time, they are of interest to politicians, experts and analysts. However, the work has a number of disadvantages. First, it is necessary to characterize the empirical methods used in a structured manner, in particular, the method of content analysis and discourse analysis, to substantiate the volume and nature of the sample of empirical materials. Secondly, it is necessary to saturate the text with empirical material, namely: to introduce statistical indicators into the analysis, for example, Rossotrudnichestvo, to characterize the results of content analysis in a structured manner and to present the obtained qualitative and quantitative results in an analytical manner. However, it is advisable to adjust the comparative analysis by presenting its results in the form of a table or a clear analytical matrix. Thirdly, it is necessary to eliminate the gap between the analytical part and practical recommendations. Thus, the "Discussion" section contains many correct, but not original enough statements about the need for digitalization, personnel renewal and the transition to a "network model". It is necessary to present the material in the form of well-founded scientific results following from the empirical analysis conducted by the author. It is also important to substantiate the chronological logic of the study. In addition, the author should check for compliance of the intra-text references with the bibliographic list, as well as the list of references in terms of compliance with GOST. It should be noted that the text needs editing in order to eliminate repetitions and stylistic errors.

Second Peer Review

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The subject of the study is the Russian "soft power" in 2000-2025. The methodological basis of the research is an interdisciplinary approach. The author justifiably applies the comparative political science method, institutional and historical-political methods. Along with this, empirical methods are correctly applied, namely, document analysis and secondary analysis of data from individual international ratings and analytical reviews. The relevance of the work, as the author rightly points out, lies in the fact that in the second quarter of the 21st century, "soft power" finally turned into one of the central tools of foreign policy competition. Along with economic and military means of influence, States are increasingly resorting to the resources of culture, information, ideology and education to advance their own interests in the face of increasing geopolitical turbulence. The scientific novelty of the study is to expand the understanding of the specifics of the use of Russian "soft power" in modern conditions. The text of the article has the following headings: "Introduction", "Material and research methods", "Results", "Discussion", "Conclusion", bibliography, which includes 22 sources in Russian and foreign languages. The content of the article as a whole reflects its structure. The article is written in a competent scientific language. In the introduction, the author substantiates the relevance of the research topic. In the section "Research materials and methods", he significantly characterizes its theoretical and methodological foundations, empirical base, and substantiates the chronological framework of the study. At the same time, he logically presents the study sample and vividly presents its structure and characteristics in the form of a table (Table 1. Composition of the empirical study sample). In the main part of the work, the author correctly refers to theoretical sources and empirical data, appeals to opponents. It is especially valuable that the results of content analysis are clearly presented in the form of a table with quantitative data and their analytical interpretation (Table 2. The results of the empirical corpus content analysis). The materials of this study are intended for a wide range of readership, they can be used by scientists for scientific purposes, teachers in the educational process. At the same time, they are of interest to politicians, experts and analysts. As disadvantages of the work, it should be noted that it would be advisable to present the results of the comparative analysis in the form of a table or a clear analytical matrix. In addition, there is a gap between the analytical part and the practical recommendations. Thus, the "Discussion" section contains many correct, but not original enough statements about the need for digitalization, personnel renewal and the transition to a "network model". It should also be noted that there are typos and stylistic errors in the text. For example, "Due to the fact that the research is theoretical and analytical in nature and is aimed at reconstructing and systematizing implementation strategies, the study is designed as a comprehensive qualitative and quantitative analysis of the evolution of Russian soft power in 2000-2025."

Third Peer Review

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The subject of the reviewed research is the evolution of Russia's soft power strategy and tools in 2000-2025, viewed through the prism of institutional changes, discursive shifts, and geographical reorientation of humanitarian policy. The scientific relevance of the work is due to the absence in the existing literature of a systematic periodization of Russian "soft power" that would link domestic political and institutional changes with the transformation of the foreign policy environment over the past twenty-five years. The practical significance of the research is related to the possibility of using its results – in particular, the conclusions about the need for digital support for humanitarian institutions, regional differentiation of tools and the formation of a positive agenda – when designing foreign policy and cultural and diplomatic programs. Methodologically, the research is based on a content analysis of a corpus of 62 documents (strategic documents, institutional reports, statistics, public speeches), encoded into nine thematic categories, the results of which are presented in the form of frequency distributions and analytical tables. Additionally, the author conducts a discourse analysis of official texts (tracing the shift from "dialogue-integration" to "sovereign-identification" rhetoric) and a comparative-political comparison of the Russian, American and Chinese models according to an analytical matrix of seven criteria. The correct application of these methods allowed the author to obtain results with signs of scientific novelty and a sufficient degree of validity. First of all, the article suggests a three-phase periodization of Russian "soft power" (proto-institutional, institutional-constructivist, and conflict-identification stages), empirically grounded through a content analysis of 62 corpus units and tied to specific institutional and foreign policy frontiers. In addition, in the course of the work, the author recorded and quantified the gap between the institutional saturation of offline tools of Russian humanitarian policy (education, language, cultural heritage - from 56 to 61% of the corpus) and the weak representation of digital and online formats (22.6% of the corpus), which makes it possible to identify a specific structural deficit. Finally, the results of the study revealed the dependence of the effectiveness of "soft power" on the political and cultural context of the recipient countries: in countries with a demand for multipolarity and cultural pluralism, Russian humanitarian initiatives demonstrate sustainability, while in countries with a pro-Western normative orientation they encounter systemic institutional barriers. Structurally, the reviewed work does not cause significant complaints: its logic is consistent and reflects the main aspects of the research. The author took the IMRAD structure accepted in world science as a basis. Accordingly, the following sections are highlighted in the text: - "Introduction", where the problem of research is formulated, the relevance of addressing the topic of "soft power" in the context of sanctions pressure and Russia's loss of positions in Western institutions is substantiated, and an overview of existing literature is given (NYE, Hayden, Melissen, Lebedeva, Leonova, Naumov, Ponomareva, Kazarinova), three research gaps are identified and the purpose and objectives of the work are formulated; - "Methods and materials", which describes the research design (the composition of an empirical sample, the procedure for encoding content analysis into nine categories, the logic of discourse analysis, the function of descriptive statistics and the criteria of the comparative political science matrix, as well as the justification of the chronological framework); - "Results", which outlines the main findings of the study (three-phase periodization, content analysis data, characteristics of educational, media, religious, civilizational and regional dimensions of "soft power", analysis of perception abroad and the phenomenon of "information enclaves"); - "Discussion", where the results of content analysis are compared with practical recommendations, a comparative matrix of "soft power" models of Russia, the United States and China is presented, empirical results are linked to specific practical conclusions and the need for digitalization, personnel renewal, transition to a network model and a positive agenda is justified; - "Conclusion", which summarizes the results The research confirms the hypothesis of a shift from a universalist to a conflict-identification model, recognizes the limitations of the work (lack of open data after 2022, the gap between the declarative and practical levels) and outlines promising areas for further research. The style of the reviewed article is scientific and analytical. There are a number of stylistic and grammatical errors in the text (for example, in the heading "Methods and Materials" the second word is unreasonably capitalized; inconsistencies in the use of the letter "e" ("expanded", "involvement", "youth" are adjacent to the forms "all", "three", "conducted", "account", etc.); missing spaces "realities.Attention has become particularly intense to "semantic errors". The results obtained make it possible to transfer practical recommendations from the level of general wishes to the level of scientifically sound conclusions..." [recommendations are not "translated" into conclusions; it is more correct to say that the results make it possible to "substantiate practical recommendations" or "deduce recommendations from empirically fixed patterns" – rec.]; and others). Terminological errors also occur. Thus, the phrase "Russia is increasingly positioned as an independent and supranational partner" raises terminological doubts: "supranational partner" usually means an entity standing above national states or possessing supranational powers. In this context, we probably mean a "non-aligned", "unbiased" or "alternative to Western centers of influence" partner. It is also not entirely successful to contrast the "theoretical literature" and the "corpus of open documents" when the author describes the empirical basis of the research. There is not only stylistic, but also terminological inaccuracy here. Accordingly, the author should carefully proofread the entire text before publication in order to eliminate the noted errors. The bibliography includes 24 titles, including sources in foreign languages, and adequately reflects the state of research on the subject of the article. The appeal to the opponents takes place in the introductory part of the article. The reviewed article has several advantages that allow it to be recommended for publication, despite some disadvantages. First of all, it is characterized by the transparency of the methodological apparatus: the author does not limit himself to listing methods, but describes in detail the criteria for sample formation, the units and encoding procedure of content analysis, the logic of discourse analysis and the parameters of the comparative matrix. This allows the reader to evaluate the reproducibility of the research, a rare quality for works of this genre, where the methodological section is often declarative. In addition, a consistent combination of empirical data with practical recommendations deserves attention: each recommendation (digitalization, personnel renewal, network model, positive agenda) is directly derived from a specific empirical result of content analysis or a comparative matrix, rather than being proposed "from the outside" as a self-evident wish. Separately, the use of illustrative material (four tables) should be noted, which significantly simplify the perception of the author's argumentation.
THE GENERAL CONCLUSION is that the article proposed for review, despite some shortcomings, can be qualified as a scientific work that meets the basic requirements for such work. The article is a substantial and methodologically elaborated study with scientific novelty and practical value. Three-phase periodization, supported by content analysis, and a comparative matrix of "soft power" models make an independent contribution to the discipline. The results obtained by the author are of interest to specialists in the field of international relations and public diplomacy, researchers of "soft power" and cultural diplomacy, teachers and graduate students working with the problems of Russian foreign policy positioning, as well as to practitioners – employees of Rossotrudnichestvo, the Russkiy Mir Foundation, the Gorchakov Foundation and other structures involved in the design of humanitarian programs in Russia. with limited access to western venues. The presented material corresponds to the topic of the World Politics magazine. Based on the results of the review, the article is recommended for publication, provided that the comments made are eliminated.
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