Padalka V.V. Regression Analysis as One of the Elements of the Mechanism for Minimizing Economic Security Threats of the Russian Federation Under the Conditions of the Eurasian Economic Union's Activities

Abstract: The object of the present research is the economic security of the Russian Federation under the conditions of the Eurasian Economic Union's activities and arising threats to the country's economic security within the framework of the aforesaid integration association. The author of the article examines threats to the economic security of the Russian Federation as part of the Eurasian Economic Union under modern geo-political and geo-economical realities. The author offers a classification of threats to Russia's economic security as external and internal. The author also offers a classification of negative consequences of such economic security threats as quantitative (countable) and qualitative (uncountable). The author also offers particular methods for analyzing quantitative (countable) and qualitative (uncountable) negative consequences of these threats. The author offers the regression method of analysis to define the dependence of particular socio-economic indicators of Russia on quantitative negative consequences of economic security threats. The main conclusion of the research is that there is a certain relationship between indicators denoting consequences of economic security threats under the conditions of integration and particular socio-economic indicators of the government. Moreover, based on built models, it is possible to predict potential negative consequences for Russia's economic security as a result of interactions within the Union. The author proves the dependence between the process of foreign citizens' migration from CIS to RF and the levels of unemployment and crime in Russia. 

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