Idrisova S.R., Sultanova E.A. Prognosis of probability of further operating and analysis of possible maintainability of buildings and facilities

Abstract: The article deals with the basic of evaluation and indicators of operational safety of buildings and structures. The authors focuses on aspects such as the ability to predict the probability of further operation of buildings on the basis of data about the indicators of reliability, on the methods used in determining these indicators. The article studies the advantages and disadvantages of each method. Particular attention is paid to the urgency of the problem, identify its causes, among which the growth needs of many buildings in the reconstruction and rehabilitation, and the features of the building as complex objects. The paper describes the step by step construction of basic mathematical model, which is used in calculating the reliability of complex systems. Identify the most important problems encountered in the construction of the mathematical model, suggests some existing solutions to these problems. Evaluation of reliability of complex systems is carried out by methods involving the use of data failure and recovery elements obtained during the operation of systems. The scientific novelty is research of reliability, ensure uptime and minimal investment of time and money on technical maintenance and repairs of the building of the specified service life.

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