Reference:
Parshintseva L.S..
Analysis and forecasting of crime in Russia as a tool of effective public administration in the social sphere
// Security Issues.
2023. № 2.
P. 9-18.
DOI: 10.25136/2409-7543.2023.2.40844 EDN: ODUKWU URL: https://en.nbpublish.com/library_read_article.php?id=40844
Abstract:
The purpose of the study is to identify the main trends and patterns of crime development in Russia in order to develop effective public administration measures aimed at improving the criminogenic situation. The object of the study is crime in the Russian Federation by categories of crimes. The subject of the study is statistical data characterizing the state and dynamics of crime in Russia. The study was conducted using statistical methods such as the method of relative values, index analysis, time series analysis and forecasting methods, in particular, adaptive methods, correlation and variance analysis methods, as well as methods of visual data analysis. As a result of the study, an assessment of the state, structure and structural shifts in the distribution of crimes by crime categories over the past 10 years has been made, the influence of a regional factor on the variation in crime rates has been revealed, and the correlation between crime levels by crime categories and socio-economic factors such as unemployment, retail sale of alcoholic beverages per capita has been assessed, the coefficient of migration growth, the Gini coefficient, the coefficient of differentiation by income of the population. Based on the study of the behavior of time series levels of the number of registered crimes by crime categories, modeling and forecasting of indicators using adaptive methods until the end of 2023 were performed.
Keywords:
factors, study of relationships, adaptive methods, forecasting, security, statistical analysis, composition and structure, dynamics, categories of crimes, crime
Reference:
Karnachev P.I., Cheltybashev A.A., Karnachev I.P..
Analysis of effectiveness of a complex of measures taken by the Ministry of Emergency Situations aimed at increasing the level of fire safety in mountainous areas of Kola Peninsula
// Security Issues.
2019. № 6.
P. 30-37.
DOI: 10.25136/2409-7543.2019.6.22829 URL: https://en.nbpublish.com/library_read_article.php?id=22829
Abstract:
This article is dedicated to consideration of the practical security problems in conditions of sustainable development of mountainous areas on the example Kola Peninsula. The subject of this is a complex of measures aimed at prevention and liquidation of emergency situations in the city of Kirovsk (Murmansk Region) based on the risk maps. The authors examined not only potentially dangerous objects in Kirovsk District of Murmansk Region, but also analyzed the fire risks assessing the effectiveness of the implemented set of measures aimed at its reduction based on the acquired data. The scientific novelty consists in the analysis of methods for reducing the risks of emergency situations grounded on the concept of regional sustainable development, and forecast of the potential emergency situations based on risk maps and statistical data for the city of Kirovsk of Murmansk Region. The obtained result allowed conducting the analysis of effectiveness of expenditures allocated for carrying out preventive measures aimed at reducing the fire risks in the city of Kirovsk (Murmansk Region), as well as proposing a set of measures for reducing the level of fire danger.
Keywords:
Ministry of Emergency Situations, fire safety, mountainous areas, emergency situation, sustainable development, Risk map, Combustibles, Natural fires, Technogenic fires, Fire danger rating
Reference:
Sokolov M., Abramov R..
Organizational and methodological aspects of anti-corruption measures’ effectiveness study in Russian institutions of higher education (the case of Plekhanov Russian University of Economics)
// Security Issues.
2017. № 1.
P. 35-44.
DOI: 10.7256/2409-7543.2017.1.20553 URL: https://en.nbpublish.com/library_read_article.php?id=20553
Abstract:
The authors consider the problems of the struggle against corruption within the higher education system. The authors study organizational and methodological aspects of anti-corruption measures’ effectiveness monitoring in Plekhanov Russian University of Economics and form the unique basis, which can serve as a principle for theoretical and applied developments in this sphere and can be used not only in Russian institutions of higher education, but also within the public authorities system responsible for the implementation of the national educational policy. The research methodology is based on the analysis of scientific works devoted the problem of the struggle against corruption in Russia and abroad, the synthesis of the best Russian and foreign practices, and the long-term observations of the authors, evaluated in Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. Based on these methods, the authors develop recommendations for anti-corruption measures’ effectiveness monitoring in institutions of higher education and educational organizations. The authors develop methodological recommendations for the organization of regular monitoring of anti-corruption measures’ effectiveness in higher education institutions, which can be widely applied both in the theory and the practice of the struggle against corruption within the educational system of Russia.
Keywords:
pedagogics, education, competences, labor market, corruption prevention, reform of educational system, civil society, struggle against corruption, corruption, higher education
Reference:
Silaeva N.A..
Crimes against the political system of the Russian Federatoin: criminological characteristics (1991-2011).
// Security Issues.
2014. № 2.
P. 128-152.
DOI: 10.7256/2306-0417.2014.2.11672 URL: https://en.nbpublish.com/library_read_article.php?id=11672
Abstract:
The object of studies includes: a) description and explanation of the patterns of development of crimes against the political system of the Russian Federation based upon the analysis of quality and quantity markers, which are interrelated and interdependent; b) mass media materials, informing about initiation of criminal cases and bringing persons to legal liability for the crimes against the political systems of the Russian Federation; c) the main provisions of the legislative acts regulating prevention of crimes against the political system of the Russian Federation. The main method of scientific studies was the comparative legal method for evaluation of crimes against the political system of the Russian Federation, as well as the general scientific methods (analysis and synthesis). The scientific novelty of the said studies is due to the fact that for the first time in the Russian legal science there was a criminological analysis of the crimes against the political system of the Russian Federation. The main conclusions are as follows: The criminological characteristics of the quality and quantity markers for the crimes against the political system of the Russian Federation shows that at the edge of XX and XXI centuries there are obvious tendencies for the growth of the registered crimes against the political system of Russia, such as public calls for the extremist activities, formation of extremist organizations and communities. The statistical data shows that in the Russian Federation in early XXI century the number of encroachments upon the political system is larger than in late XX century.
Keywords:
crimes, extremism, criminological characteristics, statistical data, extremist community, holding on to power, public calls, politics, taking over the power, armed insurrection
Reference:
Petrov D.E., Poltorakov A.Y..
Civilian control over the armed forces: theory and practice in the Western states.
// Security Issues.
2013. № 3.
P. 158-188.
DOI: 10.7256/2306-0417.2013.3.770 URL: https://en.nbpublish.com/library_read_article.php?id=770
Abstract:
The article contains analysis of development of theory and practice of civilian control over armed forced in the Western states from the standpoint of political science. The authors analyze the views of political thinkers of past and present on the issues of civilian control over the army and tires to apply the ideas of the renowned political scientist S. Huntington to the modern reality, and they study the historical roots of formation the civilian-military relations in the Western democratic stats. The authors provide a detailed overview of formation and functioning of the system of civilian control over the armed forces in a number of Western European states and the USA, they study the key models, problems and perspectives of its development. The authors study social and cultural challenges to modern civilian - military relations, paying attention to the dialectics of the principle of civilian control over armed forces. They pay attention to place and role of a Ministry of Defense in a democratic state and civil society.
Keywords:
armed forces, civilian control, civilian - military relations, the Ministry of Defense, civil society, rule-of-law state, democracy, military, army, the USA