Abstract: This article review the conceptual structure of regional society and its connection with the university culture. It is determined that the participation of a university in the structure of modernization potential of regional society is important for the development of the regional social space. The article analyzes the model of formation of the university space as a universal structure that will be responsible for the development and modernization of a region. The authors examine the questions of emergence of the effective grounds and forms of realization of interaction between the university and regional society. The goal of the work consists in formulation of the concept of optimization of a regional university, as well as socio-philosophical analysis of the expected results from the perspective of their purposefulness. Methodology for this study is based on the generalization of scientific research works dedicated to the analysis of various models of regional university. The authors’ main contribution consists in combination of all analyzed elements into the unified structure by means of establishing a basic space (university) as the overall control subsystem for the elements of regional society. Without the developing regional culture, all achievements of a university such as trained specialists, technologies and innovations will bypass into the other developing cultural centers within the country or abroad. Therefore, a university faced the task of forming the bases of multifacetedness within the surrounding social space and regional culture through the educational and scientific activity.

Abstract: The subject of this research is the method of forecasting, methodology of assessment of the level of risk on management decisions. For examination of social objects, which have scales that are difficult to compare on the level of macroprocesses with large number of parameters, the authors use various models. Particularly, it is sociocultural and econometric models for the description of social phenomena. In this case, the necessity of combination of various model for the comprehensive research becomes relevant. Thus, the subject of this study is the optimization of probabilistic forecasting with the use of mathematical apparatus. The object of this study is the social phenomena that represent accumulation of the established interactions of people in the group or society. The authors review the possibility and philosophical grounds of application of the probabilistic-statistical method for the description of changes in social phenomena. The ways of determination and structuring of the driving forces of social changes using the scenarios of changes, as well as formulation of the model of transformation of sociocultural foundations, are being described.  The main conclusions are associated with examination of the question of social forecasting within the framework of possibility of implementation of the mathematical models and methods. The authors demonstrate the possibility of objective highlighting and determination of the factors influencing the social phenomenon in question, as well as analysis of their role regarding the impact upon the social phenomenon. These factors can be objectively arranged based on their importance towards the examined social phenomenon.