Okuneva S.E. —
The Influence of the Tax Manoeuvre 22/22 on the Net Profit of Russia's Companies: Industry Analysis
// Taxes and Taxation. – 2017. – ¹ 11.
– P. 35 - 47.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-065X.2017.11.24858
URL: https://en.e-notabene.ru/ttmag/article_24858.html
Read the article
Abstract: In her article Okuneva analyzes the influence of the tax manoeuvre 22/22 that implies reduction of the insurance rates down to 22% and increase in the VAT rate up to 22% on the company's available earnings at the industry level. Within the framework of the analysis, the author defines the main beneficiaries of the manoeuvre and the integrated effect on the economy. Considering the fact that the company's proprietory funds constitute one of the key investment determinants, evaluation of the manoeuvre's effect on the net profit allows to define branches that should expect the burst of investment activity as a result of the tax manoeuvre. The author of the article analyzes two scenarios of the companies' response to the manoeuvre. The first scenario assumes that prices remain the same for consumers. The second scenario assumes that the increase in VAT will raise prices, too. It is important to note that the analysis made within this research is of retrospective nature, i.e. it answers the question what effect the manoeuvre would have had in the past, and that the analysis involves only the direct effect on the profit. The scientific and practical importance of the research is caused by the fact that the author analyzes actual fiscal policy in Russia. According to the author's estimations, the scenario when the increase in VAT does not affect prices will reduce the net profit (without taking into account financial and budgetary institutions and small business entities) by 0.2% and the scenario with a full transfer of VAT into prices will increase the net profit by 0.4%. The health care service, welfare system, administrative activity, water supply, water disposal, waste reclamation, and processing industry will economize on taxes and social fees more than other branches.